Col Doug Macgregor discusses global geopolitical dynamics, focusing on Russia, the U.S., and military readiness:
Russia’s strategy: Russia plans to sign a long-delayed peace treaty with Japan, strengthening trade and energy ties. Its partnership with China continues to deepen, as Putin and most Russians believe there’s no future with the West. Russia maintains strong relations with Central and Southwest Asian states, seeing Europe as its only dangerous front. Putin expects Western governments, weakened by economic and political instability, to eventually falter.
Europe and the U.S.: Europe’s current leadership is viewed as anti-Russian but fragile. The U.S., meanwhile, is not seen as preparing for direct war with Russia. Trump is portrayed as pragmatic—aware of America’s weak military readiness and unwilling to risk war with Moscow. He recognizes that Russia will end the Ukraine war on its own terms.
Venezuela: The U.S. could easily overpower Venezuela militarily, but such an intervention would likely lead to chaos, not stability. The speaker warns that it might serve only as political theater for Trump, rather than producing long-term benefits.
U.S. military decline: America’s military power is in decline and will take a decade or more to rebuild. Simply throwing money at defense problems won’t fix issues rooted in loss of human capital, outdated technology, poor training, and slow industrial output. The U.S. lacks skilled workers, sufficient submarines, and integrated air defenses.
Historical parallels: The speaker compares today’s military situation to the post-Vietnam era—demoralized, undertrained, and ill-prepared. It took over a decade to rebuild military effectiveness then, culminating in success during Desert Storm, but that readiness has since eroded.
Lesson for Venezuela: Any intervention should be quick and followed by an immediate exit—otherwise, the U.S. risks repeating the quagmires of Vietnam, Iraq, and other prolonged conflicts. Past small interventions like Panama were manageable; Venezuela would not be.
Overall message: Russia is strategically consolidating in Asia while waiting out Western decline. The U.S., militarily overextended and politically uncertain, risks repeating past mistakes if it intervenes unnecessarily—especially in Venezuela—without first rebuilding genuine military capability and strategic discipline.
Credit to : Daniel Davis / Deep Dive